Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.002403 0.002553 0.002713 0.002898 0.003105 0.003333 0.003605
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.002205 0.002415 0.002652 0.002943 0.003295 0.003715 0.004265
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.002029 0.002271 0.002554 0.002918 0.003386 0.003982 0.004835
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.001929 0.002198 0.002526 0.002964 0.003558 0.004369 0.005641
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.001827 0.002110 0.002464 0.002954 0.003647 0.004651 0.006365
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.001726 0.002015 0.002382 0.002904 0.003669 0.004832 0.006972
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.001684 0.001989 0.002386 0.002969 0.003860 0.005304 0.008255
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.001640 0.001957 0.002378 0.003013 0.004023 0.005762 0.009722
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.001572 0.001887 0.002313 0.002965 0.004031 0.005943 0.010662
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.001497 0.001805 0.002224 0.002874 0.003954 0.005949 0.011170
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001454 0.001764 0.002191 0.002865 0.004016 0.006238 0.012647
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001369 0.001661 0.002063 0.002699 0.003785 0.005884 0.011956
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001340 0.001638 0.002053 0.002723 0.003904 0.006316 0.014267
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001319 0.001623 0.002054 0.002765 0.004063 0.006888 0.017914
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001281 0.001585 0.002018 0.002743 0.004099 0.007182 0.020907
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001263 0.001572 0.002020 0.002785 0.004265 0.007864 0.028076
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001234 0.001542 0.001994 0.002776 0.004325 0.008287 0.035513
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001198 0.001502 0.001950 0.002731 0.004305 0.008466 0.041946
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001188 0.001499 0.001962 0.002789 0.004516 0.009470 0.074524
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001174 0.001489 0.001965 0.002829 0.004693 0.010472 0.172359
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001144 0.001454 0.001925 0.002786 0.004670 0.010711 0.308524
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001108 0.001409 0.001866 0.002704 0.004544 0.010492 0.363043
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001088 0.001388 0.001847 0.002696 0.004599 0.011070 21.216666